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Al Qaeda in its third decade: irreversible decline or imminent victory?

Al Qaeda in its third decade: irreversible decline or imminent victory?

Jenkins, Brian Michael, author

More than ten years after 9/11, there is still remarkable lack of consensus among analysts' assessments of al Qaeda's current condition and future capabilities. Almost every issue is debated: Whether America has won the operational battle but lost the ideological contest; whether homegrown terrorism is a growing threat; whether maintaining American troops in Afghanistan is essential; whether the United States ought to declare on its own an end to the war on al Qaeda. Part of the debate is driven by political agendas, but the arguments derive from the fact that al Qaeda is many things at once and must be viewed in all of its various dimensions. This essay examines a number of these issues in light of recent developments--the death of Osama bin Laden, the Arab Spring, and the American withdrawal from Iraq. In each case, it drives toward a bottom line. In the final analysis, it is a personal view

eBook, Paperback, Electronic resource, Book. English. Electronic books.
Published Santa Monica, CA : RAND 2012

This resource is available electronically from the following locations


Statement of responsibility: Brian Michael Jenkins
ISBN: 0833060333, 9780833060259, 9780833060334
Note: Print version record.
Note: Includes bibliographical references.
Physical Description: 1 online resource (xi, 20 pages).
Series: Occasional paper ; OP-362-RC
Subject: BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Infrastructure.; National security.; Terrorism.; United States.; Qaida (Organization); SOCIAL SCIENCE General.; terrorism USa.; National security United States.; Terrorism United States.; Terrorism United States Prevention.; POLITICAL SCIENCE Terrorism.; Terrorism Prevention.
Series Title: Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-362-RC.
Local note: JSTOR Books at JSTOR Open Access


  1. Al Qaeda in its third decade : irreversible decline or imminent victory?
  2. Is Al Qaeda on the ropes or still a serious threat?
  3. How has Bin Laden's death affected the organization?
  4. What is the effect of the Arab Spring?
  5. How much of a threat do homegrown terrorists pose?
  6. So why does Al Qaeda think victory is imminent?
  7. What will happen in Afghanistan?
  8. How will we know when to stop?